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75% Bitcoin Rally Odds, Ripple’s $125M Judgment, & $5B eToro IPO: Mar 26

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Today's crypto market is witnessing transformative developments—from Ripple wrapping up a four-year SEC battle with a $125M judgment adjustment to Bitcoin analysts projecting a 75% chance of new highs. Key movements in Ethereum, Solana ETFs, and institutional tokenization efforts further underscore a dynamic shift in digital asset landscapes.

 

Quick Take

  • Ripple drops its cross-appeal in its SEC case, solidifying a $125M judgment with significant adjustments to the escrow amounts.

  • Analysts predict a 75% probability that Bitcoin, currently trading around $87K, will hit new highs, with key liquidity zones identified between $84K–$90K.

  • ETH’s price action suggests bearish momentum with the potential to drop toward $1,200 amid diminishing network activity and a return to supply inflation.

  • U.S. regulators may soon approve spot Solana ETFs as multiple asset managers, including Fidelity and Franklin Templeton, file proposals.

  • eToro files for a Nasdaq IPO with a potential valuation over $5B, and CME Group begins testing asset tokenization using Google Cloud’s Universal Ledger.

Global Crypto Market Snapshot, Market Mood Improves

The global crypto market continues to experience volatility, with fresh data indicating modest growth and shifting investor sentiment. The market cap stands at $2.86 trillion, marking a 0.68% increase over the last day. In contrast, trading activity saw a decline, with the total 24-hour crypto market volume dropping by 11.55% to $76.4 billion. 

 

Crypto Fear and Greed Index | Source: Alternative.me

 

Notably, stablecoins dominate trading activity, comprising 94.49% of the volume at $72.19 billion, while DeFi transactions account for 7.06% or $5.39 billion. Additionally, Bitcoin’s market dominance slipped slightly to 60.54%, and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index improved to 47—a modest shift from Fear to Neutral sentiment.

 

Ripple and Trump Media’s Crypto ETFs in the Spotlight

Today’s market saw several pivotal events that are reshaping investor sentiment. Ripple Labs has agreed to drop its cross-appeal in its four-year SEC litigation, leaving a modified $125M judgment largely intact. 

 

Meanwhile, Binance intervened after detecting a market maker’s sale of 66 million MOVE tokens, freezing $38M in proceeds and prompting the Movement Network to initiate a buyback program. 

 

In another significant development, Trump Media has partnered with Crypto.com to launch a series of “Made in America” ETFs, a move aimed at tapping into a global investor base and expanding the reach of crypto assets.

 

Read more: XRP Surges 10% as SEC Set to Drop Ripple Case, Could Reach $4 Soon

 

Bitcoin’s Bullish Forecast for New ATH Amid Key Resistance Zones

BTC/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin

 

Bitcoin continues to be the center of attention as it trades around $87K, attracting bullish sentiment from market experts. Network economist Timothy Peterson has highlighted a 75% chance that Bitcoin will reach new highs in the next nine months, based on its current trajectory. 

 

However, on-chain data reveals that critical cost basis levels for whales lie between $84K and $85K, while short positions are emerging in the $88K–$90K range, indicating potential resistance and profit-taking zones. Despite these positive forecasts, bearish on-chain signals and declining whale long positions suggest that any short-term rally might encounter significant selling pressure.

 

Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024-25: Plan B Forecasts BTC at $1 Million by 2025

 

Ethereum Under Pressure at $2,000: Bear Flag Patterns and Supply Dynamics

ETH/USDT price chart | Source: KuCoin

 

Ethereum is facing several challenges as it trades near $2,055. The asset is currently exhibiting a bear flag pattern on its daily chart, which has raised concerns about a possible drop toward $1,200 if key support levels fail. 

 

This technical weakness is compounded by reduced daily transaction counts and record-low fees, which indicate waning demand for block space—a stark contrast to previous periods of high network activity. Additionally, the significant drop in the ETH burn rate, alongside rising supply growth returning to inflationary levels, is putting additional downward pressure on Ethereum’s price trajectory.

 

Solana ETF Prospects and Institutional Expansion Drive Rally

Solana remains a focal point as institutional interest in its ecosystem continues to grow. The Cboe BZX Exchange recently filed for listing a proposed Fidelity Solana ETF, joining similar initiatives by asset managers like Franklin Templeton. Bloomberg Intelligence projects a 70% likelihood that U.S. regulators will approve spot SOL ETFs this year, potentially broadening investor exposure to Solana significantly. 

 

Source: X

 

Furthermore, BlackRock’s tokenized money market fund, BUIDL, has expanded its operations to the Solana blockchain, further underscoring the network’s rising prominence in delivering institutional-grade digital asset products.

 

eToro IPO Journey: Navigating Public Markets with a $5B Valuation

Crypto-friendly trading platform eToro is gearing up for a major public debut as it embarks on its IPO journey. The company has submitted a registration statement on Form F-1 with the SEC, aiming to list its Class A common shares on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker “ETOR.” 

 

The anticipated IPO is expected to value eToro at over $5 billion—a significant milestone following previous attempts, including a canceled SPAC merger. The move is further bolstered by strong investor backing from major banks such as Goldman Sachs, UBS, and Citigroup, signaling robust institutional interest in platforms that seamlessly integrate traditional finance with crypto trading.

 

CME Group & Google Cloud: Pioneering Asset Tokenization with the Universal Ledger

Institutional innovation is taking center stage as CME Group partners with Google Cloud to pilot the Universal Ledger, a distributed ledger designed to streamline collateral, margin, and settlement processes within capital markets. The pilot program is slated to begin in 2026 with select capital market participants, marking a potential shift toward more efficient 24/7 trading and wholesale payments. 

 

This initiative reflects a broader trend where traditional financial institutions are increasingly exploring blockchain-based solutions to enhance liquidity and capital efficiency, potentially reshaping the landscape of asset management and tokenization in the process.

 

Conclusion

In summary, today's crypto market developments—from Ripple's legal resolution and Binance's intervention to evolving price dynamics in Bitcoin and Ethereum—reflect an environment of both opportunity and caution. As institutional players increasingly enter the space, innovations like Solana ETFs, eToro’s impending IPO, and CME Group’s tokenization pilot are paving the way for broader market participation. However, investors should remain mindful that digital asset markets are inherently volatile, and market conditions can shift rapidly. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consider potential risks before making any investment decisions.

 

Read more: Bitcoin at $87K, MicroStrategy's BTC Surge, Trump's Tariff Shift, and XRP's Rebound Shape Market Dynamics: Mar 25

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