XRP and XLM prices exploded more than 8% on September 14, as traders positioned ahead of a pivotal Senate procedural vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act).
XRP climbed to $1.47, up 8.42%, while XLM surged even harder to $0.1949, gaining 8.44%.
What’s Driving the Rally in XRP and XLM
The CLARITY Act aims to draw clearer jurisdictional lines between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), formally classifying certain digital assets as commodities rather than securities.
Both tokens stand to benefit meaningfully if the bill eventually becomes law. In March 2026, the SEC and CFTC had already identified XRP and XLM, along with HBAR, as examples of digital commodities in joint guidance.
Codifying that classification into statute would reduce the residual legal uncertainty that has specifically constrained institutional participation in payment and settlement networks.
XRP has long been associated with cross-border payments and institutional settlement rails. XLM, through the Stellar network, has drawn attention for low-cost transfers and recent connections to traditional financial infrastructure, including a U.S. Bank cross-border stablecoin pilot completed on the network just days before the vote.
Senate Republicans released what they called the final draft late on September 13, incorporating 126 substantive changes requested by Democrats.
Sponsors Cynthia Lummis, John Boozman, and Tim Scott said the 635-page text strengthens ethics provisions, expands enforcement roles for state attorneys general, and grants the Treasury new authority to address potential deposit flight from community banks tied to the use of payment stablecoins.
What Senate Vote Could Decide
A cloture vote on the motion to proceed is scheduled for Tuesday, September 15, at 2:15 p.m. ET. The measure needs 60 votes to advance. With Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic or independent senators would need to cross over for the GOP to remain unified.
Three unresolved disputes still complicate that math: ethics rules targeting President Trump’s reported $1.4 billion in crypto income, developer liability provisions under Section 604 affecting decentralized finance, and a stablecoin yield question threatening roughly $1.35 billion in annual Coinbase USDC rewards revenue.
Prediction markets suggest the odds of passage remain genuinely low. Polymarket pricing has fallen from 82% in February to 30% as the time of writing, while Galaxy Research pegs the probability at just 10%.
That skepticism has not stopped the crypto market from treating each legislative milestone as a positive catalyst, regardless. Earlier advances, including the Senate Banking Committee’s 15-9 vote in May and intermittent signals of White House engagement on ethics language, produced similar short-term rallies in both tokens.
Failure to invoke cloture on Tuesday would not kill the bill outright, but it would likely push comprehensive market-structure legislation past the midterms into 2027. For now, both tokens have responded positively to the latest developments, even as the underlying probability of passage remains stacked against them.