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1-Min Market Brief_20250701

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Key Takeaways

  • Macro Environment: Canada has withdrawn its digital services tax on tech companies and is expected to resume trade negotiations with the United States. Bessent anticipates a series of new trade agreements to be signed before July 9. Positive sentiment has driven both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ to new highs.
  • Crypto Market: Bitcoin opened high but declined, continuing its fluctuating trend with a weakened correlation to U.S. stocks, signaling market divergence. The SOL Staking ETF has boosted expectations for ETH staking, and the ETH/BTC ratio has maintained a 5-day rise. Bitcoin's market dominance has slightly decreased for four consecutive days, with altcoins catching up in terms of exchange rates.
  • Today's Outlook: S&P Global will release the U.S. June ISM Manufacturing Index. Argentina will finalize regulations for virtual asset service providers; individuals registered under PSAV must comply with new rules before July 1. Crypto lending platform Ledn announced it will terminate Ethereum support and yield-bearing services, fully shifting to a Bitcoin-backed loan model. Zama, a privacy-focused confidential blockchain protocol, will launch its testnet on July 1.
Token Unlocks (estimates): SUI : 1.3%, ~$122.8M

Main Asset Changes

Index Value % Change
S&P 500 6,204.94 +0.52%
NASDAQ 20,369.73 +0.52%
BTC 107,145.60 -1.12%
ETH 2485.43 -0.61%
Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 64 (Greed), down from 66 yesterday.

Project Highlights

Trending Tokens: HFT, SOL, ARB
  • SOL: REX-OSPREY SOL spot ETF will begin trading on Wednesday.
  • ARB: Robinhood has launched tokenized stock products based on Arbitrum and is building a dedicated Layer 2 network for RWA (Real World Assets).
  • POL: Polygon and GSR IO jointly launched the Katana blockchain focused on DeFi, which has already secured $200 million in pre-funding.

Macro Economy

  • Goldman Sachs has advanced its Fed rate cut prediction to September.
  • Trump will meet with his trade team this week to determine national tariff rates.
  • Trump: "Interest rates should be cut to 1%, and Powell and his committee are to blame."

Industry Highlights

  • U.S. Treasury Secretary: Stablecoin legislation may be completed by mid-July.
  • Kazakhstan's central bank governor: Plans to establish a national cryptocurrency reserve.
  • Strategy increased its Bitcoin holdings by 4,980 BTC, valued at $106,801 per Bitcoin, totaling $531.9 million.
  • Stablecoin issuer Circle has applied to establish a national trust bank in the U.S.
  • Robinhood plans to expand its tokenized U.S. stocks offering to "thousands of tokens" by the end of the year; Robinhood EU will also launch tokenized stocks.
  • Korea's IBK Industrial Bank and Shinhan Financial Group have applied for trademark registration for the KRW stablecoin.
  • BitMine has announced a private fundraising round of $250 million to implement its Ethereum financial strategy.

This Week's Outlook

  • July 2
    • Ethena (ENA) unlock: 0.67%, ~$10.7M
  • July 3
    • U.S. to release June Nonfarm Payrolls at 20:30 UTC+8
  • July 4
    • U.S. markets closed for Independence Day.
    • Elon Musk hints Grok 4 release after July 4.
    • U.S. Senate expected to vote on Trump’s tax & spending package.
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