Ironwood’s security upgrade is not enough to rerate ZEC on its own. ZIP-318 makes balances migrate in canonical denominations and staggers broadcasts, so a measured adoption pace fits the privacy trade and raw transfer counts can overstate holder conversion. The Orchard flaw was serious, but the corrected circuit restored normal action at block 3,364,600. From July 27 to July 30, ZEC fell 8.1% versus 2.2% for BTC and 0.2% for XMR, and that relative weakness says the supply discount is still there. ZEC remains exposed to more underperformance until the market proves it wants the rerate.
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