🚨 SOLANA FOUNDER @toly: "AGI IS STILL VERY FAR" — a genuinely honest AI-coding reality check 🧵👇 1️⃣ THE CONTEXT Toly is building Percolator — a next-gen perp DEX on Solana with a sharded order book, CEX-level execution speed, fully open source. 2️⃣ THE ADMISSION "If I were writing the code full-time, it should already be released by now." Translation: AI assistance has actually been SLOWER than solo full-time coding for this project. 3️⃣ WHERE AI ACTUALLY EXCELS (per Toly) ✅ Design & spec research phase ✅ Fuzz testing to find bugs 4️⃣ WHERE IT FALLS SHORT Full delegation of actual coding. His workflow now: Use AI to research the spec → write spec by hand → AI finds bugs in spec Write the code by hand → AI fuzz-tests for bugs AI as research/QA partner, NOT autonomous coder. 5️⃣ THE STRIKING CLAIM "The actual number of good products shipped to market is unlikely better today than pre-model days." Quality may improve with this approach, but SHIPPED VOLUME hasn't meaningfully increased despite all the AI coding tool hype. 6️⃣ WHY THIS MATTERS Toly isn't an outside AI skeptic — he's a serious builder actively using these tools on a real, complex crypto infrastructure project. This is a data point directly contradicting the "AI replaces developers" narrative, from someone with real skin in the game. 7️⃣ WHAT TO WATCH Percolator's eventual launch timeline Whether other serious builders echo similar experiences AGI timeline debates reigniting off takes like this My take: this lines up with what a lot of experienced engineers are quietly saying — AI is a phenomenal research/QA accelerant, but full autonomous coding for novel, complex systems isn't there yet. 🤖⚠️ $SOL #Solana #AGI #AI #Percolator #Crypto Does this match your own experience with AI coding tools? 👇