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Ethereum whales move hundreds of millions off exchanges into staking and self-custody. Exchange reserves hit a record low of 16.22 million ETH. Over this cycle and next, the more realistic base case is: BTC dominance grinds down modestly as more value accrues to smart‑contract platforms and RWAs. ETH outperforms BTC in some phases (especially when narrative = “utility, tokenization, yield”), underperforms in pure macro “flight to quality” phases. A true ETH flippening likely needs: ETH/BTC ratio to move from ~0.2–0.4 toward 0.8–1.0 and stay there, which no prior cycle has sustained yet. Clear evidence that most of the world’s high‑value tokenization, stablecoin flow, and DeFi settle on Ethereum rather than multichain or alternative L1/L2 stacks. NFA: more chance ETH doubles before BTC from here. #ETH #BTC

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