Hyperliquid's vault is down 20%. It hasn't lost money. The 20% drop in Hyperliquid's HLP vault is depositors leaving a fund that pays less than cash, not trading losses, and Thursday's $1B liquidation day never reached it. 7:00 ET snap bitcoin:native $75,902 (-0.0%) ethereum:native $2,243 (+0.3%) $SOL $89.87 (-0.3%) hyperliquid:native $77.99 (-0.6%) $ZEC $1,289 (-1.6%) $UNI $7.04 (+1.4%) $LINK $10.81 (-0.7%) $LIT $3.24 (-5.4%) $PUMP $3.82 per 1,000 (-4.1%) Spot ETFs Fri: BTC -$412M, ETH -$93M (SoSoValue, Farside agrees) hyperliquid:native: HLP, the vault that makes markets and backstops liquidations on Hyperliquid, is down about $37.5M from its September 8 peak of $188.3M. None of it is trading losses: $38.2M net left the vault while it made $0.7M trading over the same two months, per Hyperliquid's own vault ledger. That profit works out to roughly 2.6% annualized, below what a Treasury bill pays, and depositors are acting on it. The vault is still doing its job. On Thursday roughly $1.09B of positions were liquidated across crypto, all four of HLP's liquidator accounts booked zero, and the order book absorbed every Hyperliquid liquidation before the backstop was needed. Safe and barely paid is how a vault bleeds deposits without a trading loss. bitcoin:native and ethereum:native: Spot ETFs lost $1.65B this week. BTC funds shed $1.28B over five days with one inflow, Wednesday's $75M; Thursday and Friday alone took out $842M, the flow side of the Nasdaq's worst day in 18 months. ETH funds lost $365M, also with a single green day. BTC ends the week near $75.9K. Five sessions, one inflow, and the two biggest outflows landed after the tech selloff, not before it. In broader news: Kalshi handled about $2.5B of midterm trading volume, nearly double its 2024 total. Observations, not advice.
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