source avatar董小姐 |上Gate玩事件合约

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₿ Crypto Alpha | BTC, SOL, ZEC — They’re No Longer Moving in Sync I reviewed BTC, SOL, and ZEC this afternoon. When viewed together, the differences immediately stand out. For the past few months, it was often the case that other coins followed BTC’s movements closely. That’s no longer so simple. BTC remains the most stable. Its price has been oscillating around $64,000, rebounding slightly from its lows but still failing to reclaim the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. However, the **100-day moving average (~$63,300)** has been acting as consistent support recently, while resistance remains clearly around $65,500. More notably, trading volume has significantly declined. There’s no panic selling like in June, nor strong buying momentum driving prices up. Right now, my outlook on BTC is simple — wait. Waiting for a clear direction is easier than guessing it. SOL hasn’t been faring as well lately. Price has slipped back below the 100-day moving average, currently around $73. Each recent rally has peaked lower than the last — a pattern I typically avoid jumping into. Multiple resistance levels above — $74.50, $75.70, and $79.60 — remain intact; reclaiming them all in the short term looks challenging. I’ll continue monitoring $72 as support. If that level breaks, the $68–$70 range will likely be tested again. ZEC caught my attention a bit more. Price has dropped from nearly $570 to around $462, retracing much of its prior rally. Volume has also diminished significantly compared to earlier. At this stage, I won’t try to guess the bottom. If it continues lower, I’ll focus on the $410 area — near the 200-day moving average and a key long-term support zone from this cycle. Lately, I’ve stopped fixating on daily price movements of a few percentage points. I prefer analyzing ETF flows, exchange balances, and futures open interest instead. Sometimes, price hasn’t moved much — yet capital has already shifted. So for now, I’ll keep watching. When a clear direction emerges, it’s never too late to act.

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