Market forecast for the next 4 hours (5:00 a.m. to 8:00 a.m.

Market forecast for the next 4 hours (5:00 a.m. to 8:00 a.m. Singapore time) Key influencing factors • Market big data: BTC ETF capital outflow slowed down (net outflow slowed down to <100 million US dollars in the past 24 hours, but the cumulative outflow exceeded 1.1 billion US dollars at the beginning of the year), and the institutional position rate was 69%, showing the end of risk-free. The SOL chain is stronger: the trading volume reached 5.2 billion US dollars, the medium and long-term holders of the HODL wave accounted for 16%, and the supply tightness intensified. Fear and greed index 41 (neutral), rebounded from the beginning of the year 27 (fear), RSI (BTC 44, SOL 50), MACD neutral upward, combined with VWAP, the short-term rebound probability is 90%. Cist-time politics: U.S. NFP data released that employment increased by 50k (73k lower than expected) and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.4% (lower than expected 4.5%), strengthening the probability of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in March (from 60% to 85%), and favorable risky assets . The Supreme Court's tariff ruling was postponed to next Wednesday, Polymarket: Only 24% of the probability of maintaining tariffs. If canceled (probability 76%), it will release $880 billion in tax rebates, reduce inflation, and promote an encryption rebound. SOL benefits from Morgan Stanley ETF applications and ecology (such as https://t.co/nTi9XNwJZc transaction volume of more than $2 billion). • 4H chart: BTC Vortex is neutral, SOL PSAR is bullish. The post emphasizes that SOL holders drive an independent rise, and BTC needs to be alert to fluctuations before next week's CPI. The market expects low fluctuation consolidation (daily fluctuation $90,500, the admission is $90,550. Stop loss is $90,000 (risk 0.6%), and the target is $91,200 (reward 2:1). Reason: Strong rebound momentum, risk avoidance + regulatory expectations. Short order: If it is 135.16). Stop loss $133.00, target $138.00 (reward 3:1). Reason: On-chain holding drive, independent strength, high probability of decoupling rise. Short order: If