### $BTC Stage Market Analysis (2025.10.16) - Since October 3, the target date for the end of BTC's upward movement was projected to be after October 7. On October 8, a tweet mentioned the time window between October 17 and 20. - Currently, BTC is approaching the adjustment endpoint within Gann's time window. The adjustment endpoint is expected to occur soon, so pay close attention over the next few days. - Once the adjustment ends, BTC is expected to begin a trending upward movement. **Key Projections**: - **Upward Movement End Date**: Between New Year's Day 2026 and the Chinese New Year. - **Target Price**: 138 (weak) and 154 (strong). ### Key Nodes to Watch During the Adjustment Phase: 1. **Absolute Low Point**: - This typically occurs as the adjustment endpoint but is not always the same as the adjustment endpoint. - My purchase of BTC spot on October 11 was based on the possibility that this adjustment endpoint might not coincide with the absolute low point. 2. **Adjustment Endpoint**: - As stated, the adjustment endpoint usually aligns with the absolute low, but if the market converges or consolidates towards the latter stage of the adjustment, the endpoint may not necessarily be the lowest point. It could also be what we commonly refer to as a "secondary low." 3. **Start of Uptrend**: - This is the ideal buying point for a better holding experience. - Sometimes, a new upward trend doesn’t immediately follow the end of an adjustment. Identifying the starting point of the uptrend (start of the rally) presents an excellent opportunity for building a position on the "right side." In the coming days, I will assess the actual market conditions to identify buying points, and I’ll share my operations and views on X in real time.