Ripple continues to expand its business, with banks adopting its technology, and spot XRP ETFs have already attracted nearly $1.5 billion. Yet its native token XRP remains nearly 72% below its 2025 peak.
Meanwhile, on-chain data and technical charts suggest XRP may remain stuck in a sideways range until 2028, backed by historical data.
Ripple Is Growing, But XRP Isn’t Following
Ripple has spent the year strengthening its ecosystem. This week alone, the company launched the Ripple Mint platform for its RLUSD stablecoin, expanded across multiple blockchain networks, and continued attracting banks to the XRP Ledger for cross-border payments.
However, stronger business growth has not translated into higher XRP prices.
One reason is how Ripple’s network works. Banks use the XRP Ledger to settle transactions almost instantly. Due to this, they do not need to hold large amounts of XRP for long periods.
At the same time, Ripple also releases millions of XRP from escrow every month, increasing the available supply.
Meanwhile, spot XRP ETFs have attracted about $1.49 billion in total inflows, but ETF holdings still account for only 1% to 2% of XRP’s circulating supply, limiting their impact on price.
Selling Pressure Continues to Outweigh Demand
Market data also shows that XRP’s futures market has cooled sharply.
Open interest has fallen by nearly 87%, dropping from around $15 billion earlier this year to roughly $1.91 billion. This large wave of deleveraging removed much of the speculative buying that previously helped fuel rallies.
Meanwhile, large investors have quietly bought more than 600 million XRP during recent price drops. But many small investors have sold their XRP after months of little price movement. Because of this, XRP faces selling pressure.
XRP Major Rally Until 2028
According to analyst Chartnerd, XRP has taken an average of about 1,410 days to reach each new cycle high. Previous cycles lasted 1,490 days (2013-2018), 1,197 days (2018-2021), and 1,556 days (2021-2025).
Based on both time-based Fibonacci extensions and previous market cycles, Chartnerd believes XRP could target around $27 by 2029 or 2030.
At the same time, the Bollinger Bands are tightening, a sign that volatility is falling and XRP could remain range-bound before its next major move. If history repeats, the current setup mirrors the long accumulation period seen before the 2024 breakout.
Unless XRP breaks above the 20-week Bollinger Band and key resistance levels, analysts believe the token could continue trading sideways before building momentum for its next bullish cycle.
That outlook closely matches Standard Chartered’s long-term forecast, which projects XRP reaching $7 by 2027, $12.60 by 2028, and nearly $28 by 2030.