ME News reports that on September 16 (UTC+8), crypto analyst Willy Woo posted that, “I believe there is a 90% probability that the crypto market has bottomed. Based on liquidity returning from long-term investors, we are currently in an early bull market structure. The core of this assessment lies in BTC’s liquidity structure; I am deliberately avoiding historical cycle patterns, even though these patterns have so far been highly effective at identifying market bottoms. According to cycle-based analysis, other analysts’ consensus probability is around 40%. From a liquidity structure perspective, we are currently in an early bull phase, and the market bottom has likely already occurred. If this assessment is correct, the next question is: how long will this bull market last? Will it last three years? I wouldn’t necessarily bet on that, as historical cycle patterns are gradually losing their reliability. As long as investor capital inflows do not significantly weaken, the bull market structure will persist—but its duration remains uncertain.” (Source: ChainCatcher)
Willy Woo: Bitcoin Likely Bottomed Out, Bull Market Duration Uncertain
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Summary
On September 16 (UTC+8), crypto analyst Willy Woo shared a market analysis suggesting a 90% probability that the market has bottomed. He highlighted the return of long-term liquidity as an indicator of early bull market conditions. Unlike others who rely on historical patterns, Woo focuses on Bitcoin’s liquidity structure. His assessment of market trends shows no fixed timeline for the bull phase, as it depends on sustained investor inflows. The duration remains uncertain, as past cycles have lost predictive power.
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