The probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law this year has decreased to 15.5%, while TwoEyes and Geminae.Columbae still maintain a "Yes" position.

ME News reports that, as of September 8 (UTC+8), according to TradingBeats monitoring, the implied probability of the CLARITY bill being signed into law this year has dropped to 15.5%. Among cross-market whale traders in this prediction market, only two individuals—both long-term active on Polymarket and Hyperliquid—still maintain their previously established Yes positions and have not exited despite the declining odds. TwoEyes and Geminae.Columbae currently hold a combined total of approximately 254,600 Yes shares, valued at around $39,500, with a combined unrealized loss of approximately $11,800. Their average entry costs corresponded to a roughly 20% probability of enactment, which is now significantly higher than current market pricing. Specifically, TwoEyes holds about 195,500 Yes shares at an average entry probability of 20.2%, with an unrealized loss of approximately $9,197; Geminae.Columbae holds about 59,200 Yes shares at an average entry probability of 19.94%, with an unrealized loss of approximately $2,628. Both traders still maintain substantial exposure to crypto assets on the other side. Hyperliquid data shows their combined net long crypto positions amount to approximately $19.92 million. TwoEyes holds about $1.606 million in BTC longs and approximately $348,000 in crude oil shorts; Geminae.Columbae holds long positions in BTC, ZEC, LINK, and HYPE, totaling approximately $18.317 million. (Source: BlockBeats)