Huo Xing Cai Jing reports that on August 5, renowned trader Ouyang Zhai Bai posted that SpaceX shares are set to enter a peak unlocking period from August to November, with the outstanding shares expected to rise from 640 million to 5.2 billion, primarily due to employee stock releases. He believes this influx of a large volume of individual holdings into circulation could create significant selling pressure. He noted that regardless of SpaceX’s long-term prospects, the stock price is unlikely to surge significantly over the next six months. Institutional investors’ shares will gradually unlock between January and June next year, but the volume is relatively small; Musk’s 52% stake is expected to unlock in June 2027, though he believes the founder has little incentive to sell in the near term.
SpaceX shares to face unlocking pressure in Q3–Q4 2026, says trader
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Summary
On August 5, prominent trader Ouyang Zhaibai noted that SpaceX shares will face unlocking pressure from August to November 2026, with circulating supply increasing from 640 million to 5.2 billion, primarily due to employee stock releases. This could generate significant selling pressure, limiting sharp price gains over the next six months. Institutional holdings will unlock in early 2027 in smaller amounts. Elon Musk’s 52% stake unlocks in June 2027, but the trader sees little immediate incentive to sell. On-chain data suggests that altcoins to watch may respond to broader market movements.
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