According to Huoxing Finance, on July 22, The Kobeissi Letter reported that technology stocks now account for a historical high share of earnings growth in the S&P 500. In the first quarter of 2026, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft collectively contributed approximately 34% of the S&P 500’s year-over-year earnings per share growth, while semiconductor companies contributed an additional 31%, with the remaining components accounting for roughly 36%. Together, these two sectors accounted for 65% of the S&P 500’s earnings growth in the first quarter, up from 52% during the same period in 2025, indicating that profit growth remains heavily concentrated among large technology companies and the semiconductor industry. Looking ahead to the second-quarter earnings season, semiconductor companies are expected to increase their contribution to S&P 500 earnings growth by 17 percentage points to a record 48%, while Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft’s contribution is projected to decline by 25 percentage points to approximately 9%. The primary driver of S&P 500 earnings growth is shifting from large technology platforms to the semiconductor industry.
Semiconductor Sector to Drive 48% of S&P 500 Earnings Growth in Q2
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According to The Kobeissi Letter, ecosystem growth in the semiconductor sector is set to drive S&P 500 earnings growth in Q2 2026. In Q1, semiconductor companies accounted for 31% of index earnings growth, while major tech firms such as Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft contributed 34%. Together, these two groups represented 65% of total growth, up from 52% in Q2 2025. For Q2, semiconductors are projected to drive 48% of earnings growth—a 17-point increase from Q1—while Big Tech’s share is expected to decline to approximately 9%, a 25-point drop. Industry trends indicate a clear shift toward semiconductors as a primary growth engine.
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