Based on MarsBit, on December 5, 2025, Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), founder of FTX, made multiple public statements on X following the U.S. pardon of former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández (JOH) by Donald Trump on December 2. SBF, who has been incarcerated since 2022 and was previously a cellmate of JOH, claimed he had spent significant time assisting JOH with his legal defense. Some speculate that SBF's public comments aim to highlight his role in JOH's release and signal support for Trump's pardon policies, potentially to advocate for his own clemency. However, on prediction market Polymarket, the probability of Trump pardoning SBF in 2025 remains at around 2%, with most traders citing the severity of SBF's $8 billion fraud case as a major obstacle.
SBF Speaks Out After Former Cellmate Granted Pardon, Market Predicts Low Chance of His Release in 2025
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