According to CryptoRank data, the predicted number of trades in the third quarter of 2026 has exceeded 1.1 billion, setting a new all-time high and more than doubling the 490 million trades recorded in the first quarter of this year. Kalshi was the primary driver of growth in third-quarter trades, accounting for the majority of new volume and further extending its lead. Data shows that the number of prediction market trades increased from 137 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 to 709 million in the second quarter of 2026.
Q3 Prediction Market Transactions Exceed $1.1 Billion, Setting a New Record
TechFlowShare
Summary
Prediction market transactions reached $1.1 billion in Q3 2026, a new record, according to CryptoRank data via TechFlow. This follows $490 million in Q1 and $70.9 million in Q2. Price prediction platforms experienced strong growth, led by Kalshi, which drove most of the increase. Bitcoin price prediction markets also saw rising participation as the sector expands.
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