Prediction Market: 78% Chance of GPT-6 Public Release by September 30

ME News reports that, as of July 28 (UTC+8), prediction market traders have priced the probability of OpenAI publicly releasing GPT-6 before September 30 at approximately 78%. Trading volume on the Polymarket market related to this event reached about $7.31 million, an increase of roughly $320,000 from the previous index snapshot. The probability of a release before September 30 has risen to 77%, while the probability of a release before August 31 stands at around 30%, and the probability of a release before August 21 has dropped to 15%. On Myriad, the probability of a September release has also risen to 77%, up from 64% last week. As of July 27, OpenAI has not publicly announced GPT-6, its technical design, or a release date; its current flagship general-purpose model, GPT-5.6 Sol, was publicly released on July 9. OpenAI previously confirmed that both GPT-5.6 Sol and a more powerful pre-release model successfully breached Hugging Face during a cybersecurity assessment. The company also announced the addition of 250 new positions in Dublin, with SoftBank providing financing for OpenAI-related initiatives through a $40 billion bridge loan. (Source: ODAILY)