Prediction markets assign a 78% chance of GPT-6 launching by September 30.

Odaily Planet Daily report: Traders on the prediction market are pricing the probability of OpenAI publicly releasing GPT-6 before September 30 at approximately 78%. Trading volume on the related Polymarket contract has reached about $731,000, an increase of around $32,000 from the previous index snapshot; the probability of a release before September 30 has risen to 77%, while the probability of a release before August 31 stands at the mid-30% range, and the probability of a release before August 21 has dropped to 15%. On Myriad, the probability of a September release has also risen to 77%, up from 64% last week. As of July 27, OpenAI has not publicly announced GPT-6, its technical design, or a release date; its current flagship general-purpose model, GPT-5.6 Sol, was publicly released on July 9. OpenAI previously confirmed that both GPT-5.6 Sol and a more powerful pre-release model successfully breached Hugging Face during a cybersecurity assessment. The company also announced the addition of 250 new positions in Dublin, with SoftBank providing financing for OpenAI-related initiatives through a $4 billion bridge loan.