According to Hyperinsight monitoring, Polymarket trader xm39 initiated a position of 803 USD on the "Yes" share predicting the U.S. will invade Iran before 2027, accumulating a total of 806,700 shares at an approximate cost of $223,000. The Hyperliquid address associated with xm39 is the largest long position in WTI crude oil, having added 133,300 contracts of WTI crude oil (CL) yesterday, with a trading volume of approximately $10.791 million. This address currently holds a 155,200-contract long position in CL at 20x full margin, with a position value of approximately $13.22 million and an unrealized profit of about $510,500. Today, the address withdrew $246,400 to HyperEVM, of which $100,000 was transferred and xm39 reinvested $222,200 into additional positions on Polymarket.
Polymarket trader xm39 heavily bets on war escalation, holds $13.22M WTI crude long position
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Summary
Polymarket trader xm39 is employing aggressive position trading to bet on a potential escalation of U.S.-Iran conflict before 2027. He purchased 806,700 Yes shares at $0.803 each, totaling $223,000. The same address holds 155,200 long CL contracts on WTI crude at 20x leverage, valued at $13.22 million. Position sizing is critical here, with a floating profit of $510,500. xm39 added $222,200 to Polymarket after withdrawing $246,400 from HyperEVM.
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