Polymarket shows the probability of Democrats sweeping both chambers soaring to 99.6%, as markets bet on a crushing defeat for Trump’s team in the midterm elections. According to Jinsecai, latest trading data from the on-chain prediction market Polymarket as of November 3, 2026, indicates that the probability of Democrats gaining control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives (Democrats Sweep) has reached 99.6%—a daily increase of 24%. This suggests that on-chain capital has almost entirely priced in a complete Democratic takeover of Congress, with markets placing near-certain odds on a devastating loss for Trump’s administration in the midterms. Should both chambers shift fully to Democratic control, cryptocurrency policy legislation could face heightened uncertainty, and the Trump family’s crypto business interests may come under increased scrutiny.
Polymarket shows a 99.6% probability of a Democratic sweep in the 2026 midterm elections.
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Summary
Polymarket shows a 99.6% probability of Democrats winning control of both the Senate and House in the 2026 midterms, a 24% increase in a single day. This shift has raised concerns about potential crypto market regulation and the Trump family’s connections to crypto. Fear and Greed Index data indicates growing uncertainty ahead of possible policy changes.
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