ME News reports that, as of September 16 (UTC+8), monitoring by the PPP predictive market tool shows the probability of OpenAI’s valuation reaching $1 trillion by the end of 2026 on Polymarket has risen to 82%, up 20% in 24 hours. If, between the event creation date and December 31, 2026, the OpenAI NPM Price published by Nasdaq Private Market reflects a private market valuation that meets or exceeds the target valuation set for this event, the outcome will settle as “Yes”; otherwise, it will settle as “No.” NPM publishes data only on trading days, with updates occurring at 1:00 PM Eastern Time the following day. If any relevant data remains unpublished as of January 1, 2027, the event may remain open until 11:59 PM EST on January 4, 2027. If OpenAI conducts an IPO or direct listing during this period, in addition to the pre-listing NPM valuation, the outcome will also consider the valuation implied by the official offering price, as well as the public market capitalization from the listing date through December 31, 2026. Public market capitalization will be calculated as: “highest/lowest official trading price on a trading day × total outstanding common shares at that time.” In simple terms: If OpenAI’s valuation—based on either NPM data or post-listing public market data—ever reaches or exceeds the target valuation before the end of 2026, the outcome will be “Yes.” Join the PPP Signal Notification community to stay ahead of the curve. (Source: ODAILY)
Polymarket Predicts an 82% Chance OpenAI Will Reach a $1 Trillion Valuation by 2026
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Summary
Polymarket shows an 82% chance that OpenAI will reach a $1 trillion valuation by 2026, up 20% in 24 hours. The event settles as "Yes" if OpenAI’s NPM valuation hits $1 trillion before December 31, 2026. Open interest remains high as traders monitor altcoins for related market shifts. If OpenAI goes public, its IPO price and market cap will also count toward settlement. The event may remain open until January 4, 2027, if data is delayed.
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