Polymarket predicts a 13% chance of the CLARITY Act being signed into law by 2026.

ME News reports that, as of August 5 (UTC+8), the probability of the CLARITY Act (H.R.3633) being signed into law by 2026 on Polymarket is currently at 13%, the lowest level since the prediction market was created, down 14% within 24 hours. The total trading volume for this event has reached approximately $4.57 million. The U.S. Senate has not yet scheduled a vote on the bill. According to the official calendar released by the Office of the Senate Majority Leader, the Senate will recess on August 10 and will not reconvene until September 14. The market rules state that if the CLARITY Act (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the President before January 1, 2027, at 12:59 PM, the outcome will resolve as “Yes”; otherwise, it will resolve as “No.” Primary data sources include the Congress.gov legislative tracking page and other official or authoritative sources. (Source: Foresight News)