Morgan Stanley warns that the AI investment boom is exhibiting capital cycle risks.

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Morgan Stanley warns that the AI investment boom is reaching the limits of risk appetite, with capital cycle indicators such as surging spending and falling prices. Hyperscale cloud providers now forecast $1 trillion in capital expenditures, up from $330 billion. AI token prices have dropped 50% since summer, and increased usage may not justify returns. The Fear & Greed Index suggests that overinvestment could harm investors even if AI succeeds.

ChainCatcher report: Bank of America warns that the AI investment boom is showing signs of classic capital cycle risks, including surging spending, intensifying competition, and falling prices. Capital expenditure expectations for hyperscale cloud providers have surged from $330 billion to $1 trillion, roughly equivalent to 3% of U.S. GDP. Meanwhile, AI token prices have dropped approximately 50% since summer, and usage growth may not translate into sufficient revenue. The key risk is that while AI technology may succeed, investors could suffer losses due to overinvestment and declining returns.

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