Morgan Stanley Warns SpaceX Faces Key Pressure Test as $100 Billion Stock Lock-Up Expires

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Morgan Stanley warns that SpaceX faces a key pressure test as a $100 billion stock lock-up nears expiration. The firm notes that 911.5 million shares will unlock on August 6, part of a 4 billion-share plan through 2027. Long-term investment in the stock could be challenged as early investors seek liquidity. While a long-term crypto strategy often avoids short-term volatility, this unlock may test market confidence.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that in its latest report, Morgan Stanley stated that SpaceX (SPCX) is approaching a critical post-IPO pressure point, comparing the upcoming stock lock-up expiration to the “Max Q” phase during a rocket launch. SpaceX will release its first earnings report since going public on August 4. The firm believes market focus will center on management’s guidance regarding future strategies such as Starlink, Starship, and AI compute expansion, rather than quarterly financial results.

On August 6, approximately 911.5 million shares of SpaceX are reported to become unrestricted, valued at around $100 billion at current prices. These are the first shares in a planned release of nearly 4 billion shares through January 2027. Morgan Stanley believes early investors may seek liquidity after long-term holdings, and this unlock pressure could be SpaceX’s biggest short-term price risk. (TheStreet)

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