MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Strategy Faces Crucial Test Amid Market Volatility

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MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin strategy faces a critical test with rising volatility indicators and shifting market sentiment. As of mid-December 2025, the company holds 670,000 bitcoins, or 3.2% of the total supply. It fully transitioned to a Bitcoin-focused financial entity after being the first public firm to adopt Bitcoin as a reserve asset. The business model is now at its toughest challenge since 2020 due to market swings and potential index rule changes. The firm uses ATM stock, perpetual shares, and its 42/42 plan for funding. Recent rumors of a Bitcoin sell-off were dismissed as routine transfers. While Q3 software revenue was strong, the company remains unprofitable and reliant on outside funding. Risks include MSCI index removal, NAV premium compression, and debt.
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