Huo Xing Cai Jing reports that as of September 3, Polymarket’s pricing for the September FOMC remains nearly even: the implied probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is approximately 50.5%, while holding rates steady is around 48.5%, with total accumulated trading volume on the event reaching approximately $80.69 million. Smart money Two...
Market splits on September rate decision; FOMC odds at 50-50 on Polymarket
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Summary
On-chain data from Polymarket shows that, as of September 3, 2026, the September FOMC meeting remains a 50-50 proposition, with a 50.5% implied probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike and a 48.5% chance of no change. On-chain analysis reveals that total trading volume for this event has reached $80.69 million.
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