Market Faces Triple Macro Pressures, 37.9% Probability of Fed Rate Hike Next Week

iconKuCoinFlash
Share
AI summary iconSummary
Fed news indicates the market is under three major macro pressures: crude oil at $100, U.S. 10-year yields above 4.7%, and the dollar index above 101. These macro factors are raising inflation expectations, pressuring stock valuations, and tightening liquidity. CME’s FedWatch tool now assigns a 37.9% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the July 30 meeting.

BlockBeats news, on July 24, the market is currently facing triple pressures at the macro level: Brent crude oil futures touched $100 tonight, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield broke through 4.7%, and the U.S. Dollar Index rose again above 101. Rising oil prices have increased inflation expectations; higher Treasury yields have depressed stock valuations; and a stronger dollar has tightened global liquidity.


Meanwhile, market pricing for a potential rate hike by the Fed at next week’s meeting has risen again. According to CME’s “FedWatch” data, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in July is 37.9%, while the probability of holding rates steady is 62.1%, with no possibility of a rate cut.


The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 02:00 Beijing time on Thursday, July 30 next week.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.