Lido (LDO) Drops 9% Amid TVL Decline, But On-Chain Metrics Suggest Long-Term Bullish Outlook

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Lido (LDO) fell 9% on August 1, reversing July’s 30% rally. TVL dropped $414 million to $17.573 billion, but on-chain data shows average daily inflows of $104.74 million over 30 days. On-chain analysis reveals token holder income hit $2.08 million in July, with daily fees steady at $1.2 million. Active users rose to 2,900, pointing to ongoing utility and recovery potential.

Lido [LDO] has been on the decline, extending a 9% loss for holders on August 1. The drop arrives just after the asset closed in July on a positive note, posting over 30% in gains.

The decline remains open to question. Does it reflect a structural shift, or does it simply mirror the bearish sentiment across the broader crypto market, weighing on price? AMBCrypto examined on-chain inputs to gauge whether the market leans bullish or bearish.

Lido’s falling TVL still points to a bullish base

The recent decline in LDO has followed a comparable drop in the protocol’s total value locked. TVL measures the health of a protocol through the deposits locked on-chain.

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To put this in perspective, the TVL fell by $414 million over the past day, bringing it down to $17.573 billion. What matters, though, is the broader outlook, where dominance remains strong and the recent dip fits the structure seen across the last 30 days.

LIDO total value locked.
Source: DeFiLlama

Over the past 31 days, the market recorded roughly $3.247 billion in total inflows. In context, this translates to an average daily inflow of about $104.74 million, which shaped the market outlook.

The past day’s decline resembles the pattern seen throughout the period, raising a strong possibility that inflows could resume — a rising TVL ultimately points to a long-term bullish outlook.

LDO holder income hits a record as buybacks build

The decline coincides with a surge in token holder income through July. According to DeFiLlama, token holder income reportedly hit $2.08 million, the highest since the program began.

For context, this income does not represent revenue sent directly to holders but instead functions as a buyback that helps manage the token’s supply in the market.

Token holder incentive chart.
Source: DeFiLlama

One notable pattern emerged as the price fell. The Holder Count dropped by 60 to 86,060 at press time.

However, Fee generation remained steady. The protocol generated $1.2 million, near its 30-day daily average of $1.13 million.

Continued growth in token holder income and steady Fees could support LDO. These conditions may also limit further downside.

Rising active users strengthen utility

Daily activity has climbed, with the number of active users on the network continuing to rise.

The latest reading shows daily active users reaching 2,900 at the time of the report.

Artemis - Daily Active Users
Source: DeFiLlama

Continued growth in user activity would reinforce the asset’s underlying utility, signalling there may still be opportunity in the market.


Final Summary

  • Lido’s TVL dropped $414 million in a day to $17.573 billion, yet the decline fits a 30-day pattern where daily inflows averaged $104.74 million.
  • Token holder income hit a record $2.08 million in July while daily fees held near $1.2 million, pointing to steady demand despite the price slide.
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