Citing Chaincatcher, Kalshi and Polymarket control 99% of the prediction market, with Kalshi's share surging from 8% to 66% after integrating with Robinhood. The market is projected to grow 400% in 2025, reaching $40 billion in volume, driven largely by sports betting. Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated platform, leverages mainstream distribution, while Polymarket, a crypto-native platform, focuses on institutional data services.
Kalshi and Polymarket Dominate Prediction Market with 99% Share
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Summary
Kalshi and Polymarket hold 99% of the prediction market, with Kalshi’s share rising to 66% after linking up with Robinhood. Price prediction demand is surging, especially in sports betting, as the market is expected to hit $40 billion in 2025. Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated platform, benefits from mainstream access, while Polymarket targets institutional data needs. Bitcoin price prediction markets are also gaining traction on both platforms.
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