BlockBeats report: On June 17, as the signing of the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding approached, signals of Iran’s crude oil export thaw continued to emerge. Bloomberg vessel tracking data showed that recently, four tankers linked to Iran have reactivated their AIS transponders and are actively departing from the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman, including two very large crude carriers, each with a single-voyage capacity of 2 million barrels, as well as two product tankers that successfully passed through the Strait of Hormuz. On the same day, tanker tracking firm TankerTrackers.com disclosed that at least three tankers previously docked at Chabahar Port have departed their berths.
Iranian tankers have long evaded sanctions tracking by disabling positioning signals, falsifying data, and causing interference. The recent coordinated public disclosure of multiple vessels' voyages is interpreted by the market as an early signal that U.S. maritime blockades are gradually being lifted.
At the protocol level, Bloomberg, citing sources close to the final draft on Tuesday, reported that the U.S.-Iran agreement will grant Iran upfront sanctions relief on oil, allowing it to immediately begin exporting crude oil upon signing the deal, without any additional transition period. According to shipping analytics firm Kpler, approximately 68 million barrels of Iranian crude are currently stranded at sea due to U.S. sanctions; once export channels are reopened, this significant increase in supply will directly alleviate global oil supply constraints and put downward pressure on oil prices.
Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister stated via ISNA media that the U.S. maritime blockade of Iranian ports, initiated in April, has entered a phased lifting stage. According to the agreed plan, following the formal signing of the peace agreement this Friday, Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. maritime embargo on all Iranian shipping will be lifted simultaneously. The U.S. Central Command has not yet responded to related inquiries.
