Odaily Planet Daily reports: "White-Haired God of Stocks" Serenity posted that historical data shows that during the period from November of the U.S. midterm election year to June of the following year, the S&P 500 index recorded positive returns in all 21 previous cycles, with an average gain of 16.6%. As the U.S. midterm election on November 3, 2026, approaches, this historical pattern is worth noting; Serenity raises the question: Will 2026 become an exception to this trend?
Historical data shows the S&P 500 rises an average of 16.6% after U.S. midterm elections.
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Summary
On-chain data shows that the S&P 500 has averaged a 16.6% gain over the 21 cycles following U.S. midterm elections. From November of an election year through the following June, the index has consistently delivered positive returns. With the 2026 U.S. midterms scheduled for November 3, Serenity, known as the "White Hair Stock God," questions whether this trend will persist. Inflation data and market sentiment are likely to play a key role in shaping the next cycle.
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