According to TrendForce, a Goldman Sachs report dated August 31 raised its 3Q26 PC DRAM price forecast to 18%-23% (previously 15%-20%), maintained the server DRAM forecast at 13%-18%, lowered the mobile DRAM forecast to 8%-13%, and noted that the mobile NAND forecast of 20% was largely in line with Goldman Sachs’ expectations. In August, spot market prices for DDR4 8GB and DDR5 8GB both rose 2% month-over-month, with DDR5 trading at a 6% discount to DDR4; the premium for DDR5 64GB server modules widened from 15% to 16%. TrendForce attributes the short-term weakness in mobile DRAM demand to elevated customer inventories and expects the quarterly price increase to further slow to 0%-5% in 4Q26, though its long-term price outlook for 2027 remains positive, with suppliers continuing to shift capacity toward server DRAM and HBM. Goldman Sachs maintains buy ratings on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
Goldman Sachs: TrendForce Raises PC DRAM Price Forecast to 18–23%
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Goldman Sachs highlights a more optimistic market outlook as TrendForce raises its Q3 2026 PC DRAM price forecasts to 18%–23%, up from 15%–20%. Server DRAM forecasts remain unchanged at 13%–18%, while mobile DRAM forecasts are lowered to 8%–13%. TrendForce attributes the revision to inventory pressures in mobile DRAM, with price growth expected to slow to 0%–5% in Q4 2026. The 2027 outlook remains positive as suppliers shift focus toward server DRAM and HBM. Goldman Sachs maintains a buy rating on Samsung and SK Hynix. Traders monitoring altcoins may view this as a key indicator of broader trends in the memory market.
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