ChainCatcher news, according to Glassnode data, currently about 11.1 million BTC are in a profitable state (i.e., purchase cost is lower than the current market price), while about 8.9 million BTC are in a loss state. As the gap between the two continues to narrow, the BTC profit supply versus loss supply indicator (Supply in Profit vs Supply in Loss) is approaching a historically significant convergence range that has appeared multiple times. This indicator is used to measure the number of wallets currently in a book profit state versus those in a loss state. When the two gradually become balanced, historically it often corresponds to a market phase bottom area, and is considered an important signal of market surrender and long-term positioning opportunities. If the profit and loss supply further converges, it may indicate that the market is entering a historically common cycle bottom building phase, but it still needs to be comprehensively judged in combination with macro liquidity, derivatives structure, and market sentiment factors.
Glassnode: BTC Near Cycle Bottom as Profit and Loss Positions Converge
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As of February 4, 2026, Glassnode data shows 11.1 million BTC in profit and 8.9 million BTC in loss. The narrowing gap between profit and loss positions suggests BTC price may be near a cycle bottom. This indicator historically signals a stage bottom when balanced. Traders are also watching the fear and greed index for confirmation. Further convergence needs to align with macro liquidity and derivatives structure.
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