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Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in January 2026 at 79% Probability

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According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 79% chance the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in January 2026. A 25-basis-point cut has a 21% probability. By March 2026, the odds of a 25-basis-point cut rise to 47.1%, while the chance of no change drops to 43.4%. The EU Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation continues to shape global policy expectations. Meanwhile, global efforts in Countering the Financing of Terrorism remain a key focus for regulators.
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