BlockBeats news: On January 6, according to the CME "FedWatch" tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 17.2%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 82.8%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 43.6%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 49.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 6.9%.
Federal Reserve to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged in January with 82.8% Probability
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Summary
As of January 6, 2026, the CME "FedWatch" tool indicates an 82.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January, with a 17.2% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut. For March, the probabilities are 43.6% for a 25-basis-point cut, 49.4% for no change, and 6.9% for a 50-basis-point cut. The Fed's decision could affect CFT compliance and MiCA preparedness for cryptocurrency firms.
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