Fed Signals Caution as Rate Path Flattens, Crypto Faces Structural Risks

qcpgroup

Release Time:12/18/2025 03:12:48

As reported by QCP Capital, the Fed signaled caution with a hawkish-tilted rate cut, keeping a data-dependent stance as the projected rate path flattens. The dot plot now shows a median policy rate of 3.25 to 3.5% by the next meeting, with 2026 rates flatter than expected. Crypto faces a new structural risk as MSCI reviews index eligibility for digital-asset treasury firms, possibly excluding those with over 50% crypto exposure. Outflows could hit USD 2.8 billion. Japan is tightening rules by aligning its Payment Services Act with the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. BTC as hedge against inflation remains under pressure amid regulatory and macro shifts. Countering the Financing of Terrorism remains a focus in evolving digital-asset frameworks.

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