BlockBeats news, on August 13, according to CME FedWatch data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September was approximately 40% prior to the release of today’s PPI report; after the report’s release, this probability decreased to around 35%, while the probability of the Fed maintaining the interest rate range at 3.50%-3.75% in September stood at approximately 65%.
Fed's September rate hike probability falls to 35% following PPI report
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Summary
Fed news on August 13, 2026, showed the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September dropped to 35% following the PPI report. Prior to the data, the probability was approximately 40%. The daily market report now indicates a 65% chance the Fed will maintain rates between 3.50% and 3.75% in September.
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