ChainThink reports that on August 1, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September increased to 67%, up from 63.4% the previous day. During the same period, the market expects a 30.5% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady in September.
The probability of the Fed's 25-basis-point rate hike in September rises to 67%.
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Summary
As of August 1, 2026, Fed news indicates the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September has risen to 67%, up from 63.4% the previous day, according to CME’s FedWatch. The likelihood of maintaining rates remains at 30.5%. Traders are also monitoring altcoins in light of evolving monetary policy expectations.
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