Fed rate hike probability rises to 43.7% in October following CPI release

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CFT concerns remain prominent as the probability of a Fed rate hike rose to 43.7% for October following the U.S. September CPI data. The likelihood of holding rates steady in October is 56.3%, while December expectations show a 4.3% chance of a hold and a 55.3% chance of a 25-basis-point increase. MiCA developments continue to shape regulatory discussions in parallel.

BlockBeats news, on October 14, after the release of the U.S. September CPI data, according to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged through October is 56.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 43.7%.


The probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady until December is 4.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 55.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 40.4%.

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