Probability of Fed Rate Hike Ahead of ADP Data Release

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According to Chainthink, the Federal Reserve has a 33.8% chance of holding rates steady in September and a 66.2% chance of a 25-basis-point hike. For October, the probabilities are 24.1% for no change, 56.9% for a 25-basis-point increase, and 19.1% for a 50-basis-point move. These decisions could impact liquidity and crypto markets, particularly as CFT policies tighten.

ChainThink reports that, as of September 2, according to CME FedWatch data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in September is 33.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 66.2%.

The probability of holding rates steady through October is 24.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 56.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 19.1%.

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