Derived from TechFlow, the market erased the possibility of a December rate cut in 11 days, only to see it rebound sharply within a single day. Fed officials reversed their earlier hawkish stance, pushing the probability of a rate cut up by 40 percentage points to 102%, raising questions about the central bank’s communication strategy. The recent rebound has been broad and volume-driven, signaling a true buying trend rather than a mere oversold bounce. The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 indices saw their strongest five-day gains since April, suggesting a potential market shift. Broader participation across sectors, including regional banks and small caps, further supports the strength of the rebound.
Fed Policy Shift Sparks Market Volatility, 12-Month Rate Cut Odds Surge
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