ChainCatcher report, according to CNBC, CME's "FedWatch" tool shows a 45.6% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady by September, and a 54.4% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike. By October, the probability of holding rates steady is 33.5%, a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 52.1%, and a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 14.5%.
Fed raises rates by 25 bps in September with 54.4% probability
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Summary
CFT measures are gaining momentum as global regulators intensify financial oversight. According to CME's 'FedWatch,' the Fed has a 54.4% chance of raising rates by 25 bps in September, with a 45.6% chance of no change. For October, a 25-basis-point hike is priced at 52.1%, while a 50-basis-point move has a 14.5% probability. MiCA is also shaping regulatory expectations in the crypto space.
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