ME News reports that on September 10 (UTC+8), Federal Reserve officials have signaled they are prepared to raise interest rates if inflation does not improve soon. However, they may find that their primary policy tool has limited effectiveness against some of the current factors driving price increases. According to futures contracts, investors currently estimate a roughly 60% probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s meeting on September 15–16. Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research, stated, “The key factors pushing inflation above trend levels are the Iran conflict, tariffs, and chip shortages. Even if the Fed raises rates one or two times, it is unlikely to fundamentally alter this backdrop.” (Source: ODAILY)
Fed rate hikes may face challenges amid Iran tensions and AI-driven inflation.
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BTC as a hedge against inflation remains in focus as the Fed faces headwinds from Iran tensions, tariffs, and chip shortages. On September 10 (UTC+8), the Fed signaled a potential rate hike if inflation does not ease soon. Investors see a 60% chance of a move at the September 15–16 meeting. Stephanie Roth of Wolfe Research said these factors will keep inflation elevated, limiting the impact of rate hikes. Liquidity and crypto markets continue to react closely to macro developments.
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