Elon Musk Predicts Space-Based Computing to Surpass Ground Capacity by End of 2028

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Elon Musk commented on on-chain news, forecasting that space-based computing will surpass ground capacity by late 2028. Redpoint Capital’s Shaun Maguire estimated SpaceX’s revenue could rise from $51.5 billion in 2026 to $731 billion in 2028, driven by its Space Infrastructure business. Ground computing capacity is projected to grow from 1 GW in early 2026 to 21 GW by late 2028. Musk added that orbital computing power could exceed monthly ground output by 2028, with a leading advantage by 2029. Crypto news highlights the rapid transformation in computing infrastructure.

Odaily Planet Daily reports: Sequoia Capital partner Shaun Maguire predicts, through a model, that SpaceX's revenue will increase from approximately $51.5 billion in fiscal year 2026 to approximately $274 billion in fiscal year 2027, a year-over-year growth of about 5.3 times, and further rise to approximately $731 billion in fiscal year 2028. The analysis suggests that SpaceX's growth is primarily driven by its Space Infrastructure (SI) business, particularly its ground computing operations, whose deployment scale is expected to expand from 1 GW at the beginning of 2026 to 21 GW by the end of 2028.

In response, Musk said that, compared to space-based computing, the scale of ground-based computing in the future will be negligible; he expects that by the end of 2028, SpaceX’s monthly新增 deployment of space-based computing power could surpass that of ground-based computing, and will significantly lead by 2029.

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