According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability that the Fed will hold rates steady in July is 62.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 37.4%; the probability that the Fed will hold rates steady by September is 29.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 50.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 19.6%.
CME FedWatch: Probabilities of Rate Hikes in July and September
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Summary
Federal Reserve news reflects updated rate expectations via the CME FedWatch tool. The tool indicates a 62.6% chance of no rate change in July, with a 37.4% probability of a 25-basis-point increase. By September, the likelihood of a rate hold declines to 29.8%, while a 25-basis-point hike stands at 50.6% and a 50-basis-point move at 19.6%. Interest rate developments remain closely monitored by traders and investors.
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