Based on TechFlow, as of December 22, the CME FedWatch data shows a 79% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January 2026. The chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut in January is 21%. By March 2026, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 47.1%, a rate hold is 43.4%, and a 50-basis-point cut is 9.5%.
CME FedWatch: 79% Probability of Interest Rate Hold in January 2026
KuCoinFlashShare
Summary
As of December 22, CME FedWatch data indicates a 79% chance the Federal Reserve will hold rates in January 2026, with a 21% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. By March 2026, a 25-basis-point cut is seen at 47.1%, a hold at 43.4%, and a 50-basis-point cut at 9.5%. Amid evolving EU Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, global macro conditions remain closely watched for impacts on Countering the Financing of Terrorism measures.
Source:Show original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information.
Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.