According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged by June is 98.1%, with a 1.9% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. By July, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 84.7%, a 13.6% chance of a 25-basis-point hike, and a 1.6% chance of a 25-basis-point cut.
CME Data Shows 98.1% Probability of Fed Holding Rates Steady in June
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Summary
CME's FedWatch tool indicates a 98.1% probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates unchanged in June, with a 1.9% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. Inflation data will be closely monitored ahead of the decision. The probability of no rate change in July is 84.7%, while a hike and a cut stand at 13.6% and 1.6%, respectively. Interest rate developments remain critical for crypto markets.
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