According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 97.3%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 2.7%. For July, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.2%, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 2.4%, and the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 10.4%.
CME Data Shows 97.3% Probability of Fed Holding Rates Steady in June
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Summary
CME's 'FedWatch' tool indicates a 97.3% probability that the Fed will maintain interest rates unchanged in June, with a 2.7% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. Inflation data has not yet altered these expectations. For July, the probability of no rate change is 87.2%, while a 25-basis-point cut and hike are priced at 2.4% and 10.4%, respectively. Interest rate developments remain critical for market participants.
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