Clarity Act Passage Odds Drop to 34% as DOJ Raises AML Concerns

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The odds of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act passing have fallen to 34% on Polymarket. The US Department of Justice raised AML and CFT concerns, saying the bill weakens current frameworks. Section 604, which shields non-custodial developers, makes it harder to prosecute money laundering. Supporters like Rep. William Timmons and Circle’s Dante Disparte argue the bill boosts national security and economic leadership. Lawmakers are now revising the bill, including joint AML rulemaking by the SEC and Treasury, and broader Treasury powers to sanction risky platforms.

The odds of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act passing have now dropped to 34% on Polymarket, as the US Department of Justice (DoJ) expressed concern about the proliferation of crypto crime.

Clarity Act odds of passing down to 35%

Source: Polymarket

Clarity Act weakens anti-money laundering (AML) framework: DoJ

In an email addressed to the US Department of the Treasury, the DoJ said that the current version of the bill would “impose a higher burden of proof for prosecutions” in money-laundering cases.

The agency specifically highlighted Section 604 of the Act, which grants broad exemptions and safe harbor legal protections to non-custodial developers, decentralized services, mixers and automated protocols. It noted that such language would handcuff federal prosecutors upholding anti-money laundering frameworks.

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The latest caveat comes after a similar one issued on June 23 by a coalition of four law enforcement agencies and Catholic groups.

Crypto lobby responds

Nonetheless, a hearing today saw Representative William Timmons second the bill. His argument, like many supporters’, is that it maintains America’s forefront position in global economics.

Additionally, Circle’s Chief Strategy Officer, Dante Disparte, said the bill actually strengthens national security because it requires stablecoins to be backed 1:1 by safe assets like US Treasuries.

To address the DoJ’s warnings and ethical concerns surrounding President Trump, senators are actively refining the bill’s text. Amendments include provisions for the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Treasury Department to jointly formulate specific AML rules for decentralized platforms.

Furthermore, the text expands the Treasury’s authority to sanction platforms deemed high-risk for illicit financing. Finally, any entities that maintain control over a crypto platform’s code would be required to comply with the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA).

The lawmakers are working under tight timelines, with the bill’s next hearing scheduled for next week. If unsuccessful, August 7 will be the next hard deadline for the bill, right before Congress takes a summer recess.

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